Home Page - Gulf in the Media
HomePoliticsEconomy                               Set Gulfinthemedia.com as home page
 Print  Send This Page
Save Listen to this Article
Knocking at Damascus' door   

Asharq Al-Awsat - 25 July, 2012
Author: Abdullah Al-Otaibi

The fierce struggle in Syria recently experienced a blazing hot week in which the regime greatly aggravated the situation before the Free Syrian Army (FSA) promptly took the lead and suddenly managed to move the battle to the heart of the capital Damascus and its districts. The FSA approached the recent clashes strongly, and in some locations it was able to take the initiative by attacking security headquarters and forcing the regime’s troops to retreat and defend themselves. Hence in some Damascus districts, the FSA has been able to impose its own rule.

Furthermore, the FSA also launched its biggest qualitative operation since the eruption of the revolution, in terms of its skilled planning, flawless implementation and the difficulty of infiltrating the intended target - the headquarters of the National Security Bureau - where the regime’s leadership was meeting in a heavily guarded area. The operation was also of great symbolic significance, since senior leaders of both the army and the security apparatus were killed.

The identities of those killed give the event even greater momentum and significance. They were: Dawoud Rajha, the Minister of Defense, Deputy Commander of al-Assad's army, and Deputy Prime Minister, Major General Assef Shawkat, the Deputy Chief of Staff and Bashar's brother-in-law, Hassan Turkmani, the Crisis Management Chief, and Mohammad Shaar, the Minister of Interior (if news of his death is indeed correct). Furthermore, the FSA also carried out bombings targeting Maher al-Assad’s Forth Division, the strongest and the fiercest Syrian military entity, and leaked unconfirmed news reports claimed that Maher himself was injured.

Bashar al-Assad is still hiding. He failed to address his troops following the deaths of their leaders, and only briefly appeared to appoint his new Minister of Defense. The FSA's successful operations have confused al-Assad's army, and so dozens of troops have begun to defect across a number of Syrian cities. I believe that al-Assad, having already recalled some troops from the Golan Heights - where the Syrian army has failed to fire a single bullet in 40 years - to point their guns and tanks towards the Syrian people in Damascus, will also call in other troops deployed across Syria in order to protect the capital city. The FSA must then seek to block all routes to the capital and intensify its operations there, in order to force what remains of al-Assad's crumbling army to either defect or surrender.

Instigating civil disobedience, crippling airports, and targeting security headquarters and arms warehouses can all help the FSA, particularly as some new defectors are in possession of heavy weaponry such as tanks and artillery that can be used to decisively end the war.

As usual, in view of such dramatic transformations, some people are worried and suspicious. Conspiracy theories are also circulated, but these can be discounted. This is because the regime would never venture to cut off its nose by exterminating its leadership, for it is aware that this would affect the morale of its army, an army now sustaining heavy losses. Indeed, the regime’s officers and soldiers are currently being subjected to a siege whereby they are not allowed to leave their headquarters or even speak to the media.

Anyone who observes al-Assad's conduct must know that he will do anything within his reach to stop the tide. Some Western news agencies reported that al-Assad is now moving chemical weapons in his possession, according to spokesmen of the FSA in Turkey. This sounds as if the besieged al-Assad is seeking to create another Halabja, but this time in Damascus along the lines of the Sampson Option.

Such qualitative operations, large-scale defections and the changing equation on the ground will force world powers to reconsider their stances and adopt a more positive and practical attitude to champion the Syrian people against al-Assad's wild killing machine. If the regime had the opportunity now, it would re-operate its killing machine in a manner fiercer than before, but this time with the additional motive of taking revenge and restoring its lost prestige.

At long last, good news has started to filter through from Damascus, and this marks a good start for the decisive battle taking place there. There is now a sense of optimism and the Syrian people alone can decide whether this sense will prevail. This, however, is conditional upon the FSA persisting with its operations all over Syrian territory and instigating civil disobedience in all governorates.

The Gaddafi regime in Libya collapsed abruptly as a result of the strategic operations near Bab al-Aziziyah after the rebels had entered Tripoli, and this is something that the FSA must imitate in Damascus. Of course, there is a big difference between the two cases: the Libyan operation was carried out thanks to strong NATO intervention, whereas the FSA relies primarily on its own capabilities and the overwhelming popular support it receives.

Ever since the start of the crisis, al-Assad adopted the security and military option and relied on Russian protection internationally, unlimited support from Iran, Iraq and Hezbollah, and also on the military potential of his army that persisted in killing unarmed people. However, the people promptly created their own self-defense through the FSA. Since Bashar al-Assad closed all the doors for a political solution from the outset, now he will certainly adopt a stance based on intransigence rather than logic, continuing with his security and military solution despite the major changes on the ground, or else he will flee the country.

The al-Assad regime cannot be compared to any other regime, as Gaddafi never had a genuinely powerful army with which he could kill his own people, despite all the other atrocities associated with his reign. The Al-Assad regime also cannot be compared to the old apartheid system in South Africa, as even though Syria is based on sectarian principles equal to the former racist model of South Africa, al-Assad is even wilder in his bloodshed, violence, and blind tyranny.

Getting rid of al-Assad and his regime will not be easy, but today it seems that gambling on the Syrian people was the right thing to do. The Syrian people reacted strongly to the situation that the regime forcefully tried to impose upon them, and they intensified their rejection by moving from peaceful protests to forming a free army that has undertaken various operations to protect civilians and target the regime’s army. The Syrian people seized every single opportunity to express their stances explicitly and clearly. When Mustafa al-Dabi [head of an Arab League observer mission] came in, the people did not react, and similarly when Kofi Annan came in, the people remained resolute. When the balance of international power tilted against the Syrian people, they imposed their own will on the ground.

A final indicator that the Syrian regime is on the verge of collapse can be seen in the rhetoric of Hassan Nasrallah, Bashar al¬-Assad’s ally, who bemoaned the recent loss of his comrades in arms, even though they have persisted in killing Syrian civilians. Nasrallah seemed sad and frustrated, and all his false slogans of resistance were exposed, even though they once deceived numerous Arab intellectuals. As Nasrallah flounders and Iran is being stifled economically, al-Assad is searching for a way to flee the country.
 
Geneva is Rejected in Syria ... and Lebanon
Source : Al Hayat  
Date : 2013-05-19
Does treating Lebanon's deepening political crisis require Lebanon's attendance at the Geneva 2 Conference, which Russia and the United States are preparing for?...
The Revolution in a Rut
Source : Al Hayat  
Date : 2013-05-19
In less than a week, the media outlets and social communication websites became flooded with footage showing armed men, who say they belong to the armed Syrian opposition, committing what...
A war of attrition is looming
Source : Gulf Today  
Date : 2013-05-19
President Vladimir Putin and Prime Minister Netanyahu ended their three-hour meeting in Sochi last week at loggerheads over Syria, say Israeli reports....
The missile equation
Source : Khaleej Times  
Date : 2013-05-19
Moscow has literally jumped the gun in Syria. Its hasty decision to send in anti-ship missiles that could be used to counter any future military intervention has torpedoed the entire...
Assad's message
Source : The Peninsula  
Date : 2013-05-19
'I am here to stay,' is the message which Syrian President Bashar Al Assad has to convey to his detractors at home and abroad....
Those unaccounted for
Source : Saudi Gazette  
Date : 2013-05-19
The UN Working Group on Enforced or Involuntary Disappearances, which is pressing governments to provide information, still has nearly 43,000 open cases from 84 countries, with more than one-third of...
UN chief's SOS for Syria talks
Source : Khaleej Times  
Date : 2013-05-18
A proposed international conference to try to stop Syria's civil war should be held as soon as possible, UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon said on Friday, but no date has yet...
Rescuing the revolution in Syria
Source : Arab News  
Date : 2013-05-18
Having started the grueling process of choosing a new head of their government in exile two months ago, Syrians are likely to decide on a new leader next week....
Unhelpful actions to end the conflict
Source : Gulf Today  
Date : 2013-05-18
The New York Times has quoted unnamed US officials as saying Russia has sent sophisticated missles to Syria that could be used to counter any potential future foreign military intervention...
Syria's intractable crisis
Source : Khaleej Times  
Date : 2013-05-18
After nearly two years of anarchy and fighting, there appears to be no end in sight to the devastating civil war in Syria....
Syria govt supporters hack Financial Times
Source : Khaleej Times  
Date : 2013-05-18
The Financial Times' website and Twitter feeds were hacked on Friday, renewing questions about whether the popular social media service has done enough to tighten security as cyber-attacks on the...
Tehran to host 'friends of Syria' conference
Source : Tehran Times  
Date : 2013-05-18
Tehran will host a "friends of Syria" conference on May 29, Al-Alam News Network quoted Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi as saying on Wednesday....
UN, Russia for urgent Syria meet; France opposes Iran's presence
Source : The Peninsula  
Date : 2013-05-18
UN chief Ban Ki-moon and Russia agreed yesterday that a peace conference on Syria should be held "as soon as possible", even as Moscow defied growing global pressure over its...
Syria refugee numbers top 1.5m: UN
Source : Gulf Today  
Date : 2013-05-18
More than 1.5 million Syrians have fled their conflict-ravaged homeland, the UN's refugee agency said on Friday, warning that the real figure could be even higher as the tally only...
Munich security conference to focus on Gulf challenges
Source : Gulf Times  
Date : 2013-05-18
The Munich Security Conference (MSC) continues its MSC core group meeting series in 2013 with a new regional focus on the Arabian Gulf. On May 21 and 22, the MSC...
Troops push back rebels from Aleppo prison
Source : Gulf Today  
Date : 2013-05-17
Syrian rebels withdrew from a prison in the northern city of Aleppo on Thursday after heavy fighting with government troops, an activist group said, as it more than doubled its...
Obama, Erdogan meet as Syrian war rages
Source : Arab Times  
Date : 2013-05-17
President Barack Obama met Turkey's Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan yesterday as world leaders scramble to find a way to ease Bashar Assad from power and end Syria's bloody civil...
Total 442 Results in 26 Pages
  6 
For more news, views and reports about this topic, please subscribe
to GRC website: www.grc.ae
Sun May 26, 2013| 16-رجب-1434هـ
Prince Saud: Assad should have no role in Syria
IAEA relies on US for its Iran probe
Iraq starts large-scale campaign against militants in Al-Anbar
Saudi Arabia construction sector is robust
Manama declared capital of Arab Media
$ 465m convertible bonds from NBAD
Guantanamo's Yemenis may see light at the end of tunnel
Kuwait stock market continues upward trajectory - report
GCC .. major success story for over 3 decades
Iran, world's 28th largest exporter in 2012: WTO
Sudan's president hails relations with UAE
Doha Bank hosts final round of GCC summits on Real Estate
Jalili vows to resist the West
Rights group urges UAE not to deport strikers
Another record financial year for Qalhat LNG
Six-day surge ends at Tadawul
    Newspaper Editorials
Violence against media shouldn't be condoned
Citizens' welfare
More>>  
    Opinions
Iran's Moment of Truth
Battered and bloodied
More>>  
    GCC Press Agencies
Day's main stories from the GCC Press Agencies
    Reports
Iraq Ten Years On
US Goals and Strategies toward the Arab World
More>>  
    Bank Reports
Saudi Arabia: Interest rate outlook, 2013-15
GCC Markets Monthly - May 2013
More>>  
    GRC Analysis
Building a Strong Saudi-Japan Relationship
Poor Gulf: Inequality and the Lack of Statistics
Whither GCC-US Relations?
    GRC Commentary
On Relations between Rulers and Citizens: The Need for a New Social/Political Contract in the GCC States
Key Issue Facing the Saudi Ruling House.
    GRC Book Review
Beyond Regionalism? Regional Cooperation, Regionalism and Regionalization in the Middle East
India, GCC and the Global Energy Regime: Exploring Interdependence and Outlook for Collaboration.
    GRC Press Release
Gulf Research Center press releases to the media
    GRC Publications
Asia-Gulf Economic Relations in the 21st Century: The Local to Global Transformation
Assessment of the Security Situation in Iran, Iraq, Yemen, Syria and the Arab Gulf States
China in the Eyes of the Saudi Media
    GRC Newsletters/Bulletins

Enter your email to get the Newsletter
Go
      
Privacy Policy | Contact Us | Terms & Conditions | About Us |
Weather | Qibla Directions | Hijri Date Conversion Tool
Full Page :total time:0  |   55-- 55 Middle Page :0  --   | Right : 55 - 55--en--sess-enreq-en-coming